Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 1.888140e-05 2.298858e-05 0.000027 0.000033 0.000039 0.000045 0.000053
2025-08-31 1.345414e-05 1.863725e-05 0.000025 0.000033 0.000042 0.000053 0.000066
2025-09-07 9.613569e-06 1.508250e-05 0.000022 0.000032 0.000044 0.000058 0.000076
2025-09-14 6.721423e-06 1.200145e-05 0.000019 0.000030 0.000044 0.000061 0.000084
2025-09-21 4.810357e-06 9.793269e-06 0.000017 0.000029 0.000044 0.000065 0.000092
2025-09-28 3.380469e-06 7.931169e-06 0.000015 0.000027 0.000044 0.000067 0.000099
2025-10-05 2.610521e-06 6.960251e-06 0.000015 0.000027 0.000046 0.000072 0.000109
2025-10-12 2.002732e-06 6.106651e-06 0.000014 0.000027 0.000048 0.000077 0.000118
2025-10-19 1.463434e-06 5.207862e-06 0.000013 0.000026 0.000048 0.000080 0.000126
2025-10-26 1.334855e-06 5.199844e-06 0.000013 0.000028 0.000053 0.000089 0.000142
2025-11-02 1.021969e-06 4.622034e-06 0.000013 0.000028 0.000055 0.000093 0.000151
2025-11-09 6.664765e-07 3.747130e-06 0.000011 0.000027 0.000054 0.000094 0.000156
2025-11-16 3.642750e-07 2.875785e-06 0.000010 0.000026 0.000053 0.000097 0.000164
2025-11-23 2.102039e-07 2.360488e-06 0.000009 0.000025 0.000055 0.000103 0.000177
2025-11-30 9.888998e-08 1.825551e-06 0.000008 0.000024 0.000056 0.000106 0.000188
2025-12-07 3.313267e-08 1.315265e-06 0.000007 0.000023 0.000055 0.000108 0.000195
2025-12-14 8.261275e-09 9.612170e-07 0.000006 0.000022 0.000055 0.000111 0.000204
2025-12-21 7.482093e-10 6.718616e-07 0.000005 0.000021 0.000054 0.000113 0.000212
2025-12-28 1.890451e-11 5.392731e-07 0.000005 0.000021 0.000056 0.000119 0.000226
2026-01-04 NaN 4.249834e-07 0.000005 0.000021 0.000058 0.000124 0.000240
2026-01-11 NaN 3.089491e-07 0.000004 0.000020 0.000058 0.000128 0.000251
2026-01-18 NaN 3.150212e-07 0.000005 0.000022 0.000063 0.000140 0.000275
2026-01-25 NaN 2.450337e-07 0.000004 0.000022 0.000065 0.000146 0.000289